I'm sure I'm not the only one. Los Angeles, like Boston, Philly or Miami, is a frontrunners town. Whichever of our teams that is in the driver's seat, that's the one we'll readily and happily attach our interest to, regardless of whether we've watched a game this season, know the best player's name or hell, even the rules of the sport. This is just how it is. Don't blame me. I didn't found the city.
Fellow Lakers fans (and even some of you Clippers refugees that may have found your way over to this glorious stink-free blog), I realize the spot we're in. You want to keep the adrenaline going by rooting for a team in the playoffs, but yet, you don't know a damn thing about hockey. Or maybe you know a bit, but you've been preoccupied with checking out Kenneth Fareid's offensive rebound rate and the progress of the Kings wasn't on the front burner. Look, I get it. That's why we're here.
I've exchanged a series of e-mails with MAMBINO ace hockey writer Pucklius, asking questions inn order that us bandwagon Kings fans might get a crash course in puck education. Let's be honest; at the end of this, no one is going to mistake you for a pedigreed NHL fan born in the swamps of Calgary. However, you MIGHT just learn enough to have a passable conversation about possibly the only champions in LA this June. Onward!
For us casual hockey fans, it's just "pretty damn cool" to see the Los Angeles Kings get so far into the playoffs. But from a hockey-head's perspective, how unlikely is it that the Kings made it this far?
You also have to account for injuries and matchups. The Kings have gotten lucky with both this season. Vancouver was without Daniel Sedin, which was absolutely debilitating for its offense. That was a team that also, despite winning another Presidents' Trophy this season, went all the way to Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final a year ago. That means the Canucks might have played as many as 20 more games than their opponent in the last calendar year with a far shorter offseason. That kind of exhaustion will have an impact sooner or later. If you look at the Islanders of the early 80s, they won 19 consecutive playoff series, which is patently absurd. They had four Cups in a row, but when they reached the Final in a fifth season they lost to the Oilers of Gretzky and Messier. The Oilers were obscenely talented, but the Islanders were still arguably a better team at that point. They had essentially played five seasons in four years because of all those playoff games, though. It catches up to you.
The Kings also got matchups against teams that play great defensively but really can't score in bunches (St. Louis and Phoenix). L.A. does both right now and that certainly favored them. Also, it's worth noting that the Pacific Division was a horse race with a photo finish. The Coyotes only finished with two more points than the Kings. One more win and L.A. might have been the third seed, in which case we're not talking about this being a surprise at all. To me the bigger surprise is not that L.A. is winning -- no one can doubt their talent -- but that L.A. is winning so easily. They played 14 games in the first three rounds, just two more than the absolute minimum number of wins a team needs to reach the Final. The Rangers and Devils, by comparison, played 14 and 12 games, respectively just to reach the Conference Finals. What Los Angeles has done in this postseason is really stunning, not just for the Kings, but for anyone.
Excellent lead-in to my next question, which is how could a team that finished second to last in scoring suddenly start scoring (what appears to be) easily, and often?
When you look at the Kings' lineup the bigger mystery is less how are they scoring now than why weren't they scoring during the season. This is a team with a lineup that was pretty loaded at the front and the back. Anze Kopitar has been a pretty electric scorer for the past few seasons, Dustin Brown has been a dependable man to create goals near the net and Drew Doughty is among the very best at quarterbacking an offense from the blue line. The fact that this team was among the worst offensive teams in the League this season is pretty mind-boggling and seems more to have been a, as Peter Gibbons might say, "problem of motivation" rather than actual skill or ability.

As for why this team suddenly managed to find its offensive groove at the right time is anyone's guess, but this is what they were supposed to be delivering all season.
Very interesting point. As per usual (maybe just in my life, generally), I try to equate things I don't understand to basketball or baseball. The thought of a team turning on it's scoring touch in the postseason seems abnormal to me. Even a team "getting hot" doesn't necessarily connotate a seemingly completely different look for an underachieving regular season team. The closest comparison I can think of is the 2010 SF Giants that couldn't score runs all season, and then all of the sudden Cody Ross looks more like Josh Hamilton than Josh Hamilton did.
Also, I don't know a lot about the particulars of a power play, but watching the game, it seems like an easy formula - you have one more guy than the other team, and it should be easy to score. If the Kings' offense is clicking so well 5 on 5, why can't they score when the advantage tilts towards them on the power play?

That's not the same thing as a five-on-five offense and it also inhibits a faster team's ability to take advantage of its speed through the neutral zone or of a defense caught off guard on a broken play. Is that the reason the Kings' power play isn't working as well as their even-strength offense? I'm not sure, but it's probably a factor that can't be discounted. One also has to consider a sheer statistical fluke as a result of a small sample size or just that some teams are simply better at certain modes of game play than others. Take a look at the Devils for instance. New Jersey's penalty kill was the best of the modern era during the regular season and in the first round it struggled mightily against Florida. This is a penalty killing unit that was so good during the regular season that New Jersey at one point had scored a goal in a higher percentage of shorthanded opportunities than it did with the extra man.
Success in one type of game play does not necessarily equal success in another type of game play. You're seeing that now with L.A., but for a team that has scored this well at even strength so far, it may not really matter.
Is Dustin Brown actually the world-killer that he looks like right now? To a hockey novice, he looks damn near unstoppable this postseason, and feels like he should be a household name.

If you root for the Kings and you haven't been paying attention to Dustin Brown until now you're late to the party -- but you are at the right party. He's the real deal.
IF the Kings are able to win the Cup (we'll get to that in a sec), where would this rank in terms of historical significance? For example, if your beloved Mets were to come from behind and take the title this year, that type of run would be one of the greatest of all-time considering the obstacles they faced. And has anyone ever beaten the 1-2-3 teams in the conference before?
It's kind of hard to pinpoint what kind of a miracle run this would be. As I've said earlier, this wouldn't be the first time a team put together a miracle run to win a Stanley Cup when it wasn't expected of them, particularly considering a fairly regular string of low-seeded teams in the Final over the last decade or so such as the 2003 Mighty Ducks, the 2006 Oilers or the 2010 Flyers. The most unexpected Cup run for my money that I can think of is probably the 1993 Montreal Canadiens, who finished in third place in their division and then marched to a Stanley Cup (against the Kings, coincidentally) by virtue of 10 wins in overtime. That's a different kind of edge-of-your-seat title run than the one the Kings are putting together, which has been built by an unexpected run of dominance. Tuesday night's Western Conference clincher was just the second time L.A. has had to deal with overtime this postseason.

And as for the Mets, a run to the World Series would seem fairly unlikely, but my Amazins woke up this morning with a better record than the Phillies, Angels, Tigers, White Sox, Red Sox and Yankees with a fairly tough schedule in the opening two months, so maybe that's not the surprise you all think it might be. Perhaps a better example might be my Giants, who won a Super Bowl after being five minutes away from seeing their season end in Week 14 at Dallas before going through Green Bay, San Francisco and New England to win a championship.
I can talk about that more if you'd like.
Believe it or not, I'll pass.
So let's ask the most important question: Can the Kings win the Cup?
I think the question more people would have to be asking at this point is why can't they -- or perhaps why won't they. The Kings have been the most consistently impressive team by far in the postseason, dominating virtually every facet of the game against every team they play. There are a few warning signs, however. In the Eastern Conference teams tend to play a much tighter style with far more checking. It could be difficult for the Kings to find the same space on the ice that they have against Western Conference teams, though they dealt with it fairly well against St. Louis, which was notoriously tough to get ice against this season.

The only other thing that could be a concern is that the Kings are just the third team in history to start their first three playoff series with 3-0 leads. The other two are the 1995 Detroit Red Wings and the 2008 Pittsburgh Penguins, who share in common that neither of them won the Stanley Cup. The sample size is too small of course to know if it's a statistical anomaly or indicative of something unquantifiable. The Wings got swept by New Jersey in that Final series while the Penguins lost the first two games to Detroit in 2008. Both of those starts were completely different from what they had experienced prior in the playoffs and one could argue that they didn't know what to do once they felt some actual adversity, but that would be total speculation. The Stanley Cup Final this year could reveal if that's an outlier or a trend, but I wouldn't bet money against the Kings beating the odds on that statistic. They've been doing it all postseason already.

LA Kings are the Flyers West. Richards, Carter, Gagne, Williams. John Stevens assistant coach, Ron Hextall assistant GM. As a Flyers fan I don't know whether to root for them or be revolted by this. Most likely the latter. Considering the East is going to be represented by the Devils or Rangers, Flyers fans are screwed either way. I do love Johnathan Quick however.
ReplyDeleteIve been a Kings fan since the day Gretzky got traded from the Oilers. I live in Southern Ontario and it is my dream to go see game 4. Tickets seems either very difficult or really pricey thru ticket sites. Was was excited when i scoored tickets but the Rangers just tied it up So if i do end up going to L.A. I want to party with some die hard Kings fans .
ReplyDelete