For the past few weeks, I've been a part of a series of Lakers roundtable posts by the fine folks over at Silver Screen & Roll. In the long, droning pace that's the NBA offseason, we've debated a number of subjects, but lately focusing on what could hinder this glamorous All-Star-laden starting five from doing anything besides parading down Figueroa in June. Here they are, aggregated and expanded upon. Check it out!
Injuries. Plain and simple.
As I ran down a couple weeks ago, you really can't consider the Lakers the clear favorites for the Western Conference because quite frankly, there's too many variables before this famed new starting five even hits the hardwood together. This team's potential is vast; not just as a regular season juggernaut, but as a historically unprecedented vehicle for postseason glory. Thus, my prediction for their current standings had nothing to do with what I think their ceiling is. Far from it, in fact.
Out of everything regarding the Lakers potential deficiencies, team chemistry isn't a factor I'm
worried about. The Lakers are facing a season of massive adjustments just in
their starting five alone, from Steve Nash playing with the most talent he's
ever had on a basketball court (all due respect to Marion, Amar'e and Joe
Johnson, but we're talking about Kobe, Gasol and Howard here), to Dwight and
Kobe getting less touches than they've ever gotten in their careers to Pau's
role as a glorified Brad Miller-esque role as a facilitator and rebounder in
the lane (that wasn't meant to be an insult..for real reals). However, these
two biggest mitigating factors makes me think that these changes in on-court
philosophy are miniscule compared to the task at hand:
1) Nash's ability as a floor general: Kobe, Howard and Pau
will (theoretically) all be taking less shots, less personal glory and a lighter
stat sheet than they're used to. It's Steve Nash's job to make them feel like
it's worth it. My dad always says that the most brilliant part of Phil
Jackson's version of the triangle offense was that because of the intricacies
of the scheme, most, if not all five of the players would touch the ball on
every single possession. After all, there's nothing more that a basketball
professional loves than feeling the touch of leather on his hands and believing
that yes, he is a crucial part of the game. Nash has shown that he'd
single-handedly be able to replicate one of the most efficient pieces of the
triangle by juggling the egos of his teammates and adjusting his passing ratio
accordingly. I have no doubt that he'll be able to utilize the weapons he has
in front of them to their deadliest efficiency, as well as smooth over any
on-court frustrations. This is what Steve Nash does. And he does it quite well.
2) The championship hunger of all five starters: Everyone
has their reasons, but none should make any individual more motivated than the
next. For Steve Nash, he'll finally hold his first trophy at age 39, and one of
the greatest players ever will finally have his ring. Kobe, he's looking at a
historic sixth title, which would tie him with Jordan, Kareem, Robert Horry and
a host of Celtics, as well as put him ahead of Magic Johnson and solidify his
resume as perhaps one of the top five players ever to grace the NBA. For Pau,
this is chance to put more hardware in his prestigious trophy case and maybe
more importantly, to prove to his detractors that at age 32, he's far from done
as a star power forward. For Dwight, winning is the balm that soothes the sting
of any offcourt transgressions. Look no further than South Beach, where nary a
person calls LeBron James the "best player on the planet" with any
reservation. And for Metta, this is another chance to party.
Injury, not the fitting of personnel pieces, is what scares
me the most about this crew. Even scarier is that I'm not sure whether or not
Dwight's back is the bigger issue, or the 34 and up club of Kobe, Nash and
potential Sixth Man of the Year Antawn Jamison. Kobe has been a walking MASH
unit for years leading up to his miraculous blood-spinning procedure by Dr.
Moreau last summer, but at age 34, is always ripe for another swath of
maladies. As if Dwight's back wasn't enough, many of us are forgetting that
before he was reconstructed like a broken Lego pirate ship by the wondrous
training staff in Phoenix, Steve Nash's back was the biggest concern that Mark
Cuban had in giving his point guard an extension to stay with the team in 2005.
A startling undercurrent here is that no one seems to be
talking about Pau's spotty injury history the past few seasons. Gasol will be
32 when November rolls around and while he's been mostly healthy, has been
extremely susceptible to hamstring injuries ever since he became a Laker. Just
like Kobe and Nash, it's not so much his recent medical chart that gives me
pause, it's his birth certificate.
Though again, I'm pretty confident about Nash's ability to
manage egos and touches, in order to do this, he needs time with his full
arsenal. It's already disarming to me that Dwight will not be an active
participant in training camp, not to mention potentially the first two months
of the season. To be honest, Howard is the fourth best offensive player on this team, but his massive physical presence and scoring limitations make it even more important that the other Lakers have as much time on the floor with him as humanly possible. On top of all of that, there's no telling how effective or not this once impervious colossus will be once he returns from a back surgery that put him on the shelf for upwards of seven months.
Oddly enough, after seven seasons of worrying year after
year if Andrew Bynum's knees would be able to hold up to the stress of a brutal
82 game stretch, we've traded our favorite ambivalent superstar for a team
littered with injury questions.
As much as I would love to lay the reasons for a season's
ultimate achievement or premature demise at the feet of Metta World Peace, as
he suggested should happen weeks ago if the Lakers were to lose, my logic is
still steadily fastened to reality. The truth is, as always, that the captain
goes down with his ship: win or lose, the onus is on Kobe Bean Bryant.
The Lakers are adding in four rotation players to Mike
Brown's top ten guys this year, including two All-Star caliber starters. In all
aspects of the game, the team is changing the ways it plays the sport. From
Dwight's complete, persistent and overwhelming domination of the paint, to
Steve Nash's playmaking ability to Antawn Jamison's and Jodie Meeks' distance
shooting, this Lakers team will be wholly different from the slow, limited
squads that have taken the floor since the opening tip of the 2010-2011season.
After giving this weeks of thought, I still can't even
picture what the Lakers offense will look like. Kobe Bryant has never played
with a point guard with the shot-creating expertise of Nash, nor has Nash had a
bevy of elite talent of this magnitude surrounding him. Mike Brown has never
had so many great, not good, but great, players to work with, let alone a
genuine pass-first floor general with an ability to get his own at any time.
Pau Gasol faces another big change in role, as he will now share the floor with
another paint dominating center with a much more limited offensive skill set
than his last partner. However, I have faith that all these problems will be
smoothed out with Nash, who has spent his whole career making his teammates
better by distributing the ball, getting everyone involved and tempering egos.
That all being said, I would be shocked if the blame for the Lakers' failure was
laid at Nash's doorstep. Moreso than anyone else on the team, Nash is genuinely
liked by media and NBA fans across the country, and that type of reverence will
curb a lot of criticism that might otherwise rightly float his way if the
Lakers' scoring stutters. After all, even Nash isn't at his fully formed best,
the changes he'll implement will be amplified in comparison to the jumbled,
stagnant offense the team had last season. Also, pass-first point guards are
rarely blamed for a team's collapse, simply because inherent in their roles is
an unselfishness that's hard to criticize. As Shaquille likes to say often and
eternally muffled on television, it's never the big man's fault. The fans and
the media are always going to look at the guy with the ball at the top of the
key. Which leaves us staring at Kobe.
Even as the Lakers are bringing in two players that averaged
over 30 shots per game combined in 2012, I still expect Kobe to hoist up
between 15 and 20 per contest this upcoming year. Bryant is ball dominant, and
even when he's not shooting the ball on every possession, it simply feels like he is. A lot of this is
because of the level of difficulty of his shots he's taking (and thus, are more
memorable), but it could also continue to feel like he always is touching the
rock because he'll be involved in more plays whether he's shooting or not with
Nash in the fold. If the Lakers' new offense doesn't work, make no mistake, it
won't just be about Kobe. Much of the blame should rightly be laid at Mike
Brown, for not being able to manage his team of superstars and their egos, as
well as create an intricate enough offensive plan to properly use his cadre of
scoring options. However, it'll go towards Kobe, because a slow,
discombobulated Lakers offense must be
the fault of the "ball hog" Kobe, who wasn't able to properly curb
his gunner's trigger finger enough to share the ball, not to mention
keep the
on court chemistry healthy enough. I can see Henry Abbott foaming at the digital mouth just imagining the type of venom he'll be able to unleash
on the
Mamba for any Lakers' pitfall. This isn't to say that Bryant should be
without blame. If the Lakers cannot mesh the pieces together, both in
the locker room and in on the floor, it'll be the fault of the team's
captain, as well as best wing scoring threat. In our collective SS&R
zeal to protect Kobe, let's not forget he was
definitely less than efficient this past season, and needs to sacrifice
shots
this upcoming one for this team to win. If the Lakers fail to win #17,
it'll be a multi-layered
problem, but the majority of it will be centered on Kobe.
As for Dwight, he isn't expected on the floor until
December, but as soon as he dons the purple and gold, there's little doubt that
he'll be able to seamlessly impact the team's defensive schemes as a shot
blocker, guarding the post and on help D. Jordan Hill and Pau Gasol are still
good to strong defenders on any given night, and the quick hands of Meeks, Kobe
and World Peace should be able to gamble more on the perimeter with Dwight
backing them up. Along with Mike Brown's defensive pedigree, Dwight will
certainly be a transformative enough force on D that any misgivings on offense
will be overlooked. Thus, with such a massive contribution on D, I can't
imagine that Dwight will be given as much blame as Kobe.
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